Bihar Assembly Election Exit Polls 2025: Who Will Win – NDA or Mahagathbandhan?
The Bihar Assembly Election 2025 is set to take place in two phases, with the final phase of voting scheduled for November 11, 2025. As soon as polling concludes, all leading survey agencies will release their Bihar Exit Poll 2025 predictions, giving an early indication of who might form the next government in Bihar — the NDA alliance led by Nitish Kumar or the Mahagathbandhan led by Tejashwi Yadav.
In the 2020 Bihar Assembly Elections, most exit polls had predicted a comfortable win for the Grand Alliance (RJD-Congress-Left) with estimates ranging between 139 and 161 seats, while the NDA was expected to bag 69 to 91 seats. Smaller parties like LJP were projected to win 3 to 5 seats. However, the actual results told a different story. The NDA (BJP-JDU) defied exit poll predictions and won 125 seats, forming the government, whereas the Mahagathbandhan managed 110 seats. The magic number to form a majority in the 243-seat Bihar Assembly is 122 seats.
Bihar Election 2020 Exit Poll Results (Comparison Table)
| Agency | NDA (JDU+) | (RJD+) | LJP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Ki Baat | 91–117 | 118–138 | 5–8 | 3–6 |
| ABP-C Voter | 104–128 | 108–131 | 1–3 | 4–8 |
| News 18 – Today’s Chanakya | 55 | 180 | – | 8 |
| India Today – Axis | 69–91 | 139–161 | 3–5 | 6–10 |
What to Expect in Bihar Exit Polls 2025?
As the political landscape shifts and new alliances form, the upcoming exit poll predictions will play a crucial role in shaping the narrative for the Bihar Election Results 2025. With voters eager to see whether Nitish Kumar will hold power again or Tejashwi Yadav will lead a comeback for the opposition, all eyes will be on the exit polls from top media houses like ABP-C Voter, India Today-Axis, and Chanakya.
Stay tuned for the Bihar Election Exit Poll 2025 live updates on November 11, right after voting ends.
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Bihar Election 2025: Parties, Candidates, Strategies | NDA vs. INDIA Alliance Analysis









